skip navigation
Blog

Stay up to date on timely topics and market events. Subscribe to our Blog now.

MARKETS
06 October 2025

The $7.7 Trillion Question—Why Isn’t Cash Leaving MMFs?

By Robert O. Abad, Alfredo Rios

Stay up to date on timely topics and market events. Subscribe to our Blog now.

As of September 30, 2025, US money market funds (MMFs) managed approximately $7.7 trillion in assets, up from about $7 trillion at the end of 2024 and nearly 55% higher than five years ago. This expansion reflects a potent mix of macroeconomic conditions and market sentiment. Chief among the drivers has been the sustained high-interest rate environment. With the Federal Reserve (Fed) keeping policy rates elevated, MMF yields have followed suit, making these vehicles far more attractive than traditional bank deposits or other short-term instruments. The regional banking crisis of March 2023, which underscored that US bank deposits are only guaranteed up to $250,000, an inverted yield curve that at one point lifted cash yields above 5%, as well as persistent market volatility all contributed to the significant increase in MMF balances over the past year.

Exhibit 1: The Relentless Rise of MMF Assets
The Relentless Rise of MMF Assets
Source: Bloomberg. As of 30 Sep 25. Select the image to expand the view.

The pace of growth in 2025 has surprised many market participants. Some had expected that once the Fed prepared to restart its easing cycle, a meaningful share of cash in MMFs would rotate into fixed income or equities. Yet today’s market backdrop complicates that narrative. Risk assets such as US equities, gold and bitcoin are trading at record highs, long-end yields remain elevated both domestically and internationally, and spreads across global corporate credit are compressed. Moreover, market expectations are for policy rates to settle around 3%, meaningfully higher than where they were for most of the post-GFC period. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has also expressed a desire to lean into demand on the front end of the yield curve (i.e., T-bills), likely resulting in a higher bill share of total Treasury issuance moving forward.1 This combination of factors challenges the view that cash will quickly migrate out of MMFs.

One reason MMFs remain sticky is structural. Empirical evidence shows that MMF yields in the US typically remain elevated for longer periods than overnight bank deposit rates largely due to active duration management within money market curves. Fund managers actively extend duration across certificates of deposit, commercial paper, Treasuries, and repurchase agreements, capturing higher coupons that continue to pay even after policy rates begin to fall. Because these portfolios generally carry longer weighted-average maturities (WAMs), yields do not immediately reprice when policy rates fall, which enhances their appeal to institutional investors. Exhibit 2 highlights that portfolio WAMs now stand above historical norms, a factor that helps to explain why MMF assets often peak well after Fed rate cuts begin, as shown in Exhibit 3.

Exhibit 2: MMF WAM Over the Past Two Decades
MMF WAM Over the Past Two Decades
Source: Crane Data, Morgan Stanley Research. As of 31 Aug 25. Select the image to expand the view.
Exhibit 3: MMF WAM and EFFR Over the Past Two Decades
MMF WAM and EFFR Over the Past Two Decades
Source: Crane Data, Federal Reserve, Morgan Stanley Research. As of 31 Aug 25. Select the image to expand the view.

Equally important, MMFs function as core liquidity vehicles rather than speculative investment products, which limits the amount of cash pivoting into riskier asset classes. Institutional investors, including corporations, financial institutions and municipalities, account for more than half of total assets, approximately $4.6 trillion, and rely on MMFs to manage operational cash flows, maintain liquidity buffers, and earn competitive returns on short-term balances. Retail investors, who represent nearly $3 trillion of the MMF universe, have also increased allocations. For them, MMFs serve as higher-yielding substitutes for savings accounts, temporary holding places for capital, and readily available sources of cash for emergencies.2

With yields still attractive relative to bank deposits, both fund types remain sticky. However, the choice between prime and government funds reflects how investors balance risk appetite against yield expectations and recent flow trends highlight a tilt towards government funds.3 Regulatory liquidity requirements force prime funds to keep 25% daily and 50% weekly assets readily available.4 In today’s market environment, this has led many prime funds to shorten their WAMs, reducing their ability to extend into longer, higher-yielding securities. As a result, the spread over government funds is narrower than in prior cycles. Safety-focused investors may also appreciate the constant net asset value (NAV) and the comfort of Treasuries as underlying collateral in government funds.

Finally, banking dynamics reinforce this trend. Many institutions have been slow to pass higher policy rates through to depositors because deposits consume valuable balance-sheet capacity. Under Basel III, institutional deposits not tied to day-to-day operations are classified as “non-operational” and are assigned high outflow (or “hot money”) assumptions, making them costly for banks to retain. As policy rates decline, banks generally become even less willing to absorb deposits. This behavior strengthens the role of MMFs as a preferred source of liquidity and stability for both institutional and retail investors.

ENDNOTES

1. ''A slew of T-bills coming? Money market funds say 'bring 'em on''' Reuters, July 14, 2025
2. Another driver of AUM growth in money funds, especially during bull markets in equities and credit, has been CME balances. (CME Group is the world’s leading derivatives marketplace.) Because money funds are approved margin collateral, rising account values increase margin requirements. To meet these requirements, prime brokers are increasingly posting money funds instead of cash, allowing them to earn a higher yield.
3. Prime funds hold corporate paper, CDs and other credit instruments. Traditionally, they offer a yield premium over government funds in exchange for taking modest credit and liquidity risk. They operate with floating NAVs, so investors see daily mark-to-market changes around $1.00. Government funds invest almost entirely in Treasuries and repos and have a constant $1.00 NAV and virtually no credit risk. They naturally meet liquidity bucket rules.
4. On July 12, 2023, the SEC adopted a final amendment to Rule 2a-7 that increased the minimum daily liquidity asset requirement from 10% to 25%, and the minimum weekly liquid asset requirement from 30% to 50%. EU UCITS MMFs are still at 10% daily and 30% weekly liquidity requirements.

© Western Asset Management Company, LLC 2025. The information contained in these materials ("the materials") is intended for the exclusive use of the designated recipient ("the recipient"). This information is proprietary and confidential and may contain commercially sensitive information, and may not be copied, reproduced or republished, in whole or in part, without the prior written consent of Western Asset Management Company ("Western Asset").
Past performance does not predict future returns. These materials should not be deemed to be a prediction or projection of future performance. These materials are intended for investment professionals including professional clients, eligible counterparties, and qualified investors only.
These materials have been produced for illustrative and informational purposes only. These materials contain Western Asset's opinions and beliefs as of the date designated on the materials; these views are subject to change and may not reflect real-time market developments and investment views.
Third party data may be used throughout the materials, and this data is believed to be accurate to the best of Western Asset's knowledge at the time of publication, but cannot be guaranteed. These materials may also contain strategy or product awards or rankings from independent third parties or industry publications which are based on unbiased quantitative and/or qualitative information determined independently by each third party or publication. In some cases, Western Asset may subscribe to these third party's standard industry services or publications. These standard subscriptions and services are available to all asset managers and do not influence rankings or awards in any way.
Investment strategies or products discussed herein may involve a high degree of risk, including the loss of some or all capital. Investments in any products or strategies described in these materials may be volatile, and investors should have the financial ability and willingness to accept such risks.
Unless otherwise noted, investment performance contained in these materials is reflective of a strategy composite. All other strategy data and information included in these materials reflects a representative portfolio which is an account in the composite that Western Asset believes most closely reflects the current portfolio management style of the strategy. Performance is not a consideration in the selection of the representative portfolio. The characteristics of the representative portfolio shown may differ from other accounts in the composite. Information regarding the representative portfolio and the other accounts in the composite are available upon request. Statements in these materials should not be considered investment advice. References, either general or specific, to securities and/or issuers in the materials are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be, and should not be interpreted as, recommendation to purchase or sell such securities. Employees and/or clients of Western Asset may have a position in the securities or issuers mentioned.
These materials are not intended to provide, and should not be relied on for, accounting, legal, tax, investment or other advice. The recipient should consult its own counsel, accountant, investment, tax, and any other advisers for this advice, including economic risks and merits, related to making an investment with Western Asset. The recipient is responsible for observing the applicable laws and regulations of their country of residence.
Founded in 1971, Western Asset Management Company is a global fixed-income investment manager with offices in Pasadena, New York, London, Singapore, Tokyo, Melbourne, São Paulo, Hong Kong, and Zürich. Western Asset is a wholly owned subsidiary of Franklin Resources, Inc. but operates autonomously. Western Asset is comprised of six legal entities across the globe, each with distinct regional registrations: Western Asset Management Company, LLC, a registered Investment Adviser with the Securities and Exchange Commission; Western Asset Management Company Ltda. is regulated by Comissão de Valores Mobiliários; Western Asset Management Company Pty Ltd ABN 41 117 767 923 is the holder of the Australian Financial Services License 303160; Western Asset Management Company Pte. Ltd. Co. Reg. No. 200007692R is a holder of a Capital Markets Services License for fund management and regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore; Western Asset Management Company Ltd, a registered Financial Instruments Business Operator and regulated by the Financial Services Agency of Japan; and Western Asset Management Company Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority ("FCA") (FRN 145930). This communication is intended for distribution to Professional Clients only if deemed to be a financial promotion in the UK as defined by the FCA. This communication may also be intended for certain EEA countries where Western Asset has been granted permission to do so. For the current list of the approved EEA countries please contact Western Asset at +44 (0)20 7422 3000.